Friday, July 29, 2005

20050729 The buy signal 2 days ago would have got a good profit, depending on trade management. Today's candlestick is a doji, indicating balance between buyers and seers, with CCI between -100 and +100. Waiting for next signal. Patience is one of the vital factors in trading. Posted by Picasa

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Thursday, July 28, 2005

20050728 EURUSD cash hourlies TLB was possible trigger. Posted by Picasa

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20050728 EUR futures daily another buying candlestick, continuation of expected upmove. Posted by Picasa

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Wednesday, July 27, 2005

20050727 candlestick shows a bullish pattern, with buying interest overwhelming selling. Buying above today's opening range is a high probability strategy for short term trade. Posted by Picasa

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Tuesday, July 26, 2005

20050726 Posted by Picasa

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20050626 Eurofx futures daily Posted by Picasa

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20050727 10:34 EST. Cash EurUsd chart testing bottom trend line, actually penetrated, but has rallied back above. Closing below this line may signal a resumption of the downtrend. Posted by Picasa

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Friday, July 22, 2005

20050722 5:00 am EST. Since the breakout from the trendline at 1.2030, despite the volatility the Eurousd long turned out to be a good one. Posted by Picasa

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Thursday, July 21, 2005


2005072 China announces change in the yuan peg and moe to a managed float.

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Wednesday, July 20, 2005

20050720 9:05 pm EST. Hourly cash eurusd chart. Posted by Picasa

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20050720 So it seems the upmove is the outcome. Looking or retest of the previous high 1.2270 on Eurofx futures, cash eurusd likewise. Posted by Picasa

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20050719 Yesterday's attempt at the lows was met by buying pressure resulting in a hammer candlestick, indication of bulls beating back the bears for the euro. Look for continuatin of up move possible. Posted by Picasa

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Tuesday, July 19, 2005

20050719 7:58 am EST. Downside break continues, turns out to be good trade. Posted by Picasa

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20050719 Hourly charts show the break of the support line, now retracing to retest. Posted by Picasa

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Monday, July 18, 2005

20050718 Still within ranges, consolidating non directional trade. Posted by Picasa

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Sunday, July 17, 2005


20050718 The Euro is within a descending triangle, having bounced twice of the support line below. Looking for breakout either side. Posted by Picasa

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Saturday, July 16, 2005


20050715 Wigh the break below the low of the inside day candlestick, looks like the break out trde is short to the downside. Posted by Picasa

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Thursday, July 14, 2005


20050714 Resistance remains the 34 ema of 1.2330. Have an ID/NR4, inside day narrowest range of last 4 days. This indicates possibility of breakout either side 1.2060-1.2160. Given the strength of the impulse upmove, I'd be leaning towards upside break out. Posted by Picasa

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20050714 Have a support trendline under the market after the retracement. Because the impulse upwae was quite strong, I'd expect at least a retest o the highs. Then see if the Euro has enough strength to continue the uptrend.(on the hourly chart basis) Posted by Picasa

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Tuesday, July 12, 2005


20050713 8:45 am EST This breakout was a good one. Wht next? Could be that the trend changed to up, so best to look for stome reentry on retracement. News now says oil rich countries have more dollars in their cofers to sel due to oil price going above US62 per barrel, plus central banks looing to sell USD in favour of Euros to diversify their reserve holdings. Posted by Picasa

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20050712 Early European morning trade 15 min chart shows uptrend. Posted by Picasa

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Monday, July 11, 2005


20050712 Breakout was decisive. That level now becomes support. Posted by Picasa

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20050711 10:30 am EST update. Mov avg provides support at 1.2030 on the futures for the long breakout out of the triangle on the hourly cash chart. Posted by Picasa

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20050708 Hourly chart breakout on upside for eurusd cash. Posted by Picasa

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Saturday, July 09, 2005


20050708 Still sluggish on downside momentum since the breakdown of the 4 hr chart. Needs daily CCI to move decisively below -100 for good acceleration of the price to the mid teens level below 1.1700. Mov avg resistance is 1.2050. Posted by Picasa

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Wednesday, July 06, 2005


20050706 Got some profit from the downside break of the 4 hour chart. But tough going on the downside with sluggish movement, coupled with the multiplicity of divergences on the CCI. Posted by Picasa

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